Inflation

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  1. Yellen on the question of wages

    trueFed Chair Janet Yellen has stressed the importance of wage inflation in influencing the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to start raising interest rates. April's average hourly earnings for all workers rose just 0.1% month-over-month and 2.2% year-over-year. She has said that she would like to see 3%-4% wage gains or be reasonably confident that they are heading in that direction. The three-month change in this measure of wages settled down to 1.8% (seasonally adjusted) during April from 3.6% during March. Nothing to get Ms. Yellen too excited, which seemed to get the stock market very excited on Friday.

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  1. Big money sells in bond market as PIMCO cuts government holdings

    truePIMCO is selling in the U.S. government debt market, while Morgan Stanley says yields will rise.

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  2. Structural forces keeping a lid on inflation

    trueSo what is inflation doing? February's inflation data released in Monday's personal income report show that the core personal consumption expenditure deflator (PCED) remains stuck about half a point below the Fed's 2% target for this variable. It was up 1.4% year-over-year during February, and has ...

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  3. POLL: Why will the Fed ultimately raise interest rates?

     

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  4. Beneath the ugly face of second half 2014 lies the beauty of opportunity in 2015

    trueIn our view, the coming year will resemble more the volatility of the second half of 2014 than the prolonged, virtually uni-directional (i.e., up!) market that leveraged credit investors have enjoyed over the past several years.

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  5. Political risk threatening to offset potential European growth

    truePolitical risk is taking center stage for global money managers as they consider their stance on Europe, offsetting the potentially economy-boosting effects of a new quantitative easing program for the eurozone.

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  6. Federal funds rate likely to stay low 'for some time'

    trueThe Federal Open Market Committee repeated Wednesday that “it can be patient in beginning to normalize” monetary policy, but members declined to predict when they might be ready to raise the federal funds rate from the current zero to 0.25% target range, said a statement at the end of a two-day ...

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  7. Managers surprised by scope of ECB's bond-buying program

    trueThe European Central Bank announced it will begin €60 billion ($69.4 billion) of public and private debt purchases per month as part of a quantitative easing strategy, in what money managers said was a surprise move in terms of size and one that is expected to further weaken the euro and spark ...

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  8. Canada cuts key rate as oil shock clobbers inflation outlook

    trueThe Bank of Canada became the first central bank in the Group of Seven to cut interest rates in response to plummeting oil prices, saying the shock will weigh on everything from inflation to business spending.

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  9. BofA: Managers remain optimistic on growth despite growing concerns

    trueMoney managers are reducing their cash holdings despite concerns over corporate profits and inflation, said Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s monthly fund manager survey.

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  10. Be aware of your assumptions

    trueSince 2009, investors and markets have been highly sensitive to risk — and markets have offered high risk premiums. As these risks have gradually diminished, all asset classes have benefited. Equities have risen, bonds have rallied and, generally speaking, long-only investors have benefited. ...

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  11. OECD warns European Central bank needs stronger policies to avoid stagnation

    trueThe European Central Bank must implement stronger policies if it is to avoid a prolonged period of stagnation, and to prevent unintended effects to other economies, warned the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.

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  12. Bank of Japan expands QE program in surprise move

    trueBank of Japan announced an expansion of its quantitative and qualitative easing program, shocking the currency markets and bolstering stocks.

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  13. Fed stops bond buying, stays with federal funds rate near zero

    trueThe Federal Open Market Committee’s bond-buying program will end this week, members announced Wednesday at the end of a two-day meeting, citing “substantial improvement” in the labor market outlook and underlying strength in the broader economy.

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